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Home » Blogs » Think Tank » Can U.S. Manufacturers Harness Trump’s Protectionist Policy?

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Can U.S. Manufacturers Harness Trump’s Protectionist Policy?

The U.S. and Chinese flags juxtaposed against each other
Photo: iStock / niphon
December 3, 2024
Mitchell Jerine, SCB Contributor

President-elect Donald Trump’s economic proposals offer a mix of opportunities and challenges for U.S. manufacturers. While tax cuts and deregulation might offer financial benefits, increased tariffs and trade policy shifts could lead to higher costs, and could necessitate strategic changes within the industry.

If these policies are implemented, there are a few things that manufacturers can do to expand and protect themselves. 

Tariff Proposals and Reciprocal Tariff Act

The new tariff proposals are poised to influence U.S. manufacturers significantly. Key elements of the agenda include the imposition of tariffs. Trump proposes a 10% universal tariff on all imported goods, and a 25% tariff on Mexican and Canadian goods to encourage domestic production and reduce trade deficits. The President-elect also suggests tariffs up to 60% on Chinese imports, addressing concerns over trade imbalances and intellectual property issues.

Besides, Donald Trump is to seek legislation to enable him to wield the tariff cudgel when he deems it necessary by adopting his Reciprocal Tariff Act. He plans to urge Congress to pass the “Trump Reciprocal Trade Act,” which would grant the president authority to impose reciprocal tariffs on countries that impose tariffs on U.S. goods.

These proposals reflect a protectionist approach, aiming to strengthen U.S. manufacturing by making imported goods more expensive and less competitive than those manufactured domestically. This approach, however, will lead to increased costs for manufacturers reliant on imported materials, potentially raising production expenses and consumer prices.

One of the challenges surrounding the new tariff proposal is reorganizing supply chains to avoid extra taxation on Chinese goods — mainly electronic components and aluminum. Some producers might consider completely moving operations to the U.S. to avoid paying any penalties.

Trade Policy Adjustments

Trump intends to renegotiate trade agreements, and the revision of existing deals to prioritize American interests has the potential to affect international supply chains. There remains uncertainty around the specific changes in some areas of international trade. Still, changes in trade agreements could alter market access and competitive dynamics for U.S. manufacturers, necessitating strategic adjustments.

U.S. manufacturers should consider expanding domestic manufacturing activities to meet increased market demand. Protectionist policies have the potential to foster economies of scale and create a more reliable, resilient supply chain despite an initially higher cost due to domestic labor expenses and albeit diminished international competition.Embracing technology in daily operations, enhancing competitiveness, and capitalizing on new investments in the industry can make the transition process more manageable. There are plenty of ways to do so, from modernizing commercial operations to establishing direct customer engagement, to transforming raw data into actionable insights, which improves demand prediction and aligns offerings with customer needs. These tactics can reduce dependency on intermediaries and increase profit margins.

Diversifying supply chains is yet another clever move. Prioritizing local sourcing where feasible should reduce dependency and align operations with the new administration's protectionist incentives.

Infrastructure Investment

Trump’s proposals include significant investments in infrastructure, potentially leading to increased demand for manufactured goods and materials. Enhanced infrastructure projects may provide growth opportunities for manufacturers supplying construction and related sectors. The Trump administration plans $1 trillion in infrastructure spending, prioritizing public-private partnerships and greater private-sector involvement.

Manufacturers can align their strategies with these long-term infrastructure improvements. Locating facilities near upgraded transportation hubs or regions benefiting from federal investments can lower logistical costs and improve market access. Equally important is investing in workforce development and training to meet the demands of modernized operations, ensuring that manufacturers are well-positioned to capitalize on these changes sustainably.

Manufacturers can better navigate policy shifts through diversification, technology, and strategic positioning and strengthen their supply chain resilience.However, the domestic manufacturing market is highly competitive. Businesses might consider shifting from selling products alone to offering a blend of products and value-added services to meet customer needs. This approach is known as asset monetization and servitization (AM&S). Early adopters of this AM&S strategy have generated service revenues that are 30% larger than those of peers, and have built a foundation for higher customer engagement and loyalty, reduced attrition, and higher profit margins.

U.S. manufacturers should consider investing in automation and advanced manufacturing technologies to further increase supply chain resilience. Often termed “smart manufacturing” or “Industry 4.0,” these approaches help to offset higher labor costs with automation and take advantage of powerful capabilities like predictive maintenance and IoT.

To adapt strategically to shifting trade policies, U.S. manufacturers should focus on supply chain resilience, cost-efficient production through automation, and recurring revenue through monetization and servitization. By aligning their strategies with potential policy shifts, manufacturers can capitalize on opportunities and mitigate risks, making them more agile and competitive in the evolving economic landscape.

Mitchell Jerine is vice president of business transformation at Customertimes.

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